Dr. Krzysztof Burdzy of the University of Washington, Seattle spoke to MSRI's Math Lovers Forum (mathlovers.msri.org) in May 2018. In this talk, Burdzy presents a new way to look at the scientific laws of probability.
He argues that:
(i) The existing philosophy of probability is a complete intellectual failure.
(ii) The two most popular philosophical theories of probability formalize only those beliefs that were never disputed.
(iii) The non-formalized parts of probability are swept under the rug of absurdities.
(iv) Even the justifications of the non-controversial beliefs are nonsensical.
Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington, Seattle) received a doctoral degree in Statistics in 1984 from the University of California, Berkeley. After postdoctoral appointments at the University of California, San Diego, the Polish Academy of Sciences, and Purdue University, he joined the University of Washington, Seattle, in 1988. His honors include an American Mathematical Society Centennial Research Fellowship, the Rollo Davidson Prize, Fellowships of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics and the American Mathematical Society, the Wacław Sierpiński Medal, Membership of the Washington State Academy of Sciences, and the Carver Medal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. Recently he served as the chief editor of the Annals of Probability. He has co-authored over 150 research papers and published several books, including two books on philosophy of probability.