Travelling overseas is an unattractive proposition. A toxic combination of devastating climate change impacts, violent wars over scarce resources and social unrest has created an unstable and fearful world. Security is tight and travel is cumbersome, time-consuming and inefficient.

Visitors are highly selective in where and when they travel, cramming into a small number of destinations where tight restrictions and overcrowding compound the problems. Many people have begun to think that holidaying abroad just makes the problems worse.

'Divided Disquiet' is one of four scenarios for the future UK outbound tourism industry, developed by Forum for the Future for the Tourism 2023 project. For further information, go to: forumforthefuture.org/projects/tourism-2023.

Animation by Stevie Robinson, Goldsmiths. Copyright Forum for the Future

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